Postflop: Turn & River

advanced

The big-bet streets: barreling, pot geometry, value sizing, bluff selection with blockers, overbets, river decision-making, and facing aggression.

8 modules60 lessons14h

Turn Barreling

When and why to fire the second bullet: double-barrel theory, value and semi-bluff barrels, scare cards, disciplined give-ups, delayed lines, 3-bet pots, and planning the triple at the turn decision point.

Why the Turn Bet Prints: Double-Barrel TheoryExplains why turn barrels generate more folds per chip than any other bet: the flop caller's range is capped and condensed, equity denial is worth more with one card to come, and the bet carries the leverage of a threatened river shove.14m Value Barreling: Which One-Pair Hands Keep BettingBuilds the thin-value threshold for turn barrels: a one-pair hand bets again only if the caller continues with enough worse pairs and draws, taught through explicit counting of the worse-hands-that-call list.14m Semi-Bluff Barrels: Draws That Must Keep FiringFormalizes the semi-bluff barrel as equity plus fold equity plus the ability to win unimproved at showdown never, and shows which draw classes are mandatory turn bets versus optional.14m Barreling Scare Cards: A and K TurnsTeaches barreling overcards to the flop - the A and K turns that hit the preflop raiser's range after a low-board c-bet - and how to tell genuine scare cards from cards that also improve the caller.14m Giving Up Correctly: The Disciplined Turn Check-FoldCovers the most under-taught barreling skill: identifying which flop c-bets should check and often check-fold the turn without making the overall strategy exploitable.14m Delayed Barrels: Betting the Turn After Checking BackCovers the in-position delayed c-bet line: checking the flop back, then betting the turn for value or as a bluff, and why this line arrives at a turn range that is naturally capped but stab-heavy.14m Turn Barrels in 3-Bet Pots: Low SPR, Big LeverageAdapts barreling to 3-bet pots where SPR starts near 4 and a turn bet often commits both ranges, covering stack-off math, jam-setup sizing, and why thin barrels become full stack-off decisions.14m Planning the Triple Barrel at the Turn Decision PointTeaches that the real triple-barrel decision happens on the turn: before barreling, you must know which rivers you will jam, which you will give up, and whether the profitable-jam set of rivers is big enough to justify the barrel now.14m

Turn Cards That Change Everything

Reading the turn card itself: a working taxonomy of blanks, completers, pairs, and overcards, and how each one redraws range advantage, sizing, and who gets to keep betting.

A Taxonomy of Turn CardsBuilds a five-way classification of turn cards - blanks, flush-completers, straight-completers, board-pairs, and overcards - and shows how each class shifts range advantage and equity distribution between the flop bettor and caller.14m Flush-Completing Turns: Who Owns the FlushAnalyzes third-suit turns: counting which range holds more flushes (the caller usually keeps more suited junk, the raiser keeps the nut Axs region), why sizing typically shrinks, and when the OOP caller starts leading.14m

Pot Geometry & Sizing

Planning the whole pot before betting any of it: geometric growth, SPR thresholds, jam setups, small and large turn sizes, two-street value ordering, and positional sizing asymmetries.

Pot Geometry: Planning Three Streets BackwardIntroduces geometric sizing - choosing one bet fraction that, repeated on flop, turn, and river, lands exactly all-in - and shows the backward-planning habit of starting from the stacks and working toward the flop.14m SPR as the Master VariableTreats stack-to-pot ratio as the variable that determines every turn and river commitment decision, building a threshold table: near SPR 1-2 top pair stacks off happily, near SPR 4 it needs a strong kicker or plan, and at SPR 10+ one pair almost never plays...14m

River Value Betting

Getting paid on the last street: counting calling ranges, thin value, sizing to the runout, triple-barrel value, bet-folding, river check-raises, missed-draw rivers, and deep-stack extraction.

The 50% Rule: Counting the River Calling RangeEstablishes the river value-bet criterion - when called, you must win more than half the time - and turns it into a concrete combo-counting procedure: list every worse hand that calls, every better hand that calls, and compare.14m Thin Value: Betting Second Pair and Weak Top PairPushes the value threshold to its profitable limit, teaching students to construct the worse-hands-that-call list for marginal made hands instead of defaulting to showdown.14m

River Bluffing & Blockers

Choosing the right zero-showdown-value hands to bet: breakeven math, the two-sided blocker test, flush and straight blockers, busted-draw selection, value-to-bluff ratios, bluff-raises, and full triple-barrel stories.

River Bluff Theory: Polarization and Breakeven MathBuilds the river bluffing foundation: bluffs come from the bottom of a polarized range, the breakeven fold frequency is size/(size+pot) - 33% folds needed for a half-pot bluff, 50% for pot - and hands with showdown value should usually check rather than bluff.14m Blocker Fundamentals: The Two-Sided TestIntroduces the two-sided blocker test every river bluff must pass: the best bluffs block the hands that call (villain's value and strong bluff-catchers) and unblock the hands that fold (his busted draws and weak pairs).14m

Facing River Bets

The defender's last street: bluff-catching math, blocker-based call selection, small and huge sizings, check-raises and donk-leads from villain, hero-fold criteria, and a repeatable five-step defense process.

Bluff-Catching Theory: Pot Odds vs Bluff FrequencyDefines the bluff-catcher - a hand that beats every bluff and loses to every value bet - and reduces the call decision to one comparison: the pot odds offered versus the estimated share of villain's betting range that is bluffing.14m Picking Your Bluff-Catchers by BlockerTeaches selection among equal-strength bluff-catchers: when many hands beat the same bluffs and lose to the same value, blockers break the tie - call with hands that block value and unblock bluffs, fold the mirror images.14m

Turn & River Raises

The biggest leverage points in the game tree: raising barrels for value and as semi-bluffs, surviving raises as the bettor, river raise sizing, attacking thin value, and the slowplay-versus-raise-now decision.

Turn Raise Theory: Who Raises Barrels and WhyMaps the turn raise node: by the time a raise goes in over a double barrel, ranges are narrow, the raise reps the top of the caller's range, and population turn raises are overwhelmingly value - facts that shape both raising and facing.14m Value-Raising the Turn: Two Pair PlusSets the value-raise threshold on the turn - typically two pair or better against a barreling range, with texture moving the bar - and covers sizing: raising large enough to set up a river jam without folding out everything that pays.14m

Overbets & Advanced Lines

Sizing beyond the pot and the lines that complete the tree: overbet theory, turn and river overbets, defending against them, block bets from both sides, and a capstone mixing every river line.

Overbet Theory: Nut Advantage Licenses Big SizingEstablishes the licensing condition for bets above pot: a meaningful nut advantage - hands villain's range cannot contain - combined with strict polarization, because an overbet with a merged range donates to every strong hand that continues.14m Turn Overbets on Dynamic BoardsApplies overbetting to the turn: the best spots are dynamic textures where the barreler owns every premium region and wants maximum pressure before the river can change ownership.14m